The Victory Lap, Part Deux

TOM GLAVINE
Position: Pitcher
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 190 lbs.
2009 Age: 43

The Braves brass (and some Braves fans) got their man; Tom Glavine is going to get a second shot at a victory lap. Last year wasn't unprecedented for the 22-year veteran; his 2-4 record in 13 games was the same record he garnered in 9 games back in 1987, his rookie year.

The soft-tossing control artist suffered a torn flexor tendon in June. After trying to pitch in August, Tom had to shut it down. After surgery to repair that and clear some problems with his shoulder and impressing Bobby Cox in throwing drills (though that's not a particularly hard thing to do), the Braves chose to bring him back with a one-year deal.

BACK TO THE PAST: Not only is Glavine's 2-4 record from last year identical to his rookie season, but his ERA (5.54) is too.

IT TOOK A WHILE: It took Glavine seven starts before he won his first game. That is the longest such period out of any year in his career.

CAN YOU SPARE A RUN?: Including the start against Washington where he didn't record a single out, Glavine had eight starts where he allowed two runs or less. His record in those starts: 1-1.

My Outlook: Before last season, I was hoping that Glavine would be able to win 10 games and keep his ERA in the 4.00-4.50 range. Now, I'm hoping for one of two extremes:

• Glavine rediscovers some control and has a season that resembles his 2006 or 2007 campiagn.
• Glavine completely flames out and forces the Braves to do what they should have done in the first place: promote Tommy Hanson.

I don't want Glavine to fail, but at the same time, I want what I think is best for the organization. I do not believe Glavine is the best thing for the organization right now. I would like for him to produce like he is the best thing for the organization, though. If he doesn't, kick him to the curb as soon as possible.

The Next Best Thing?

GARRET ANDERSON
Position: Left Fielder
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 190 lbs.
2009 Age: 37

Unsatisfied with their lot in the outfield and still smarting from being spurned by Ken Griffey, Jr., the Braves signed former Angel Garrett Anderson to a one-year deal.

Anderson is a professional batter at this point in his career. He has never been one to take a free pass (his career high in walks is 38), and he has only struck out more than 90 times in a season two times; therefore, he's a man who puts the ball in play. One may say he's what Juan Pierre would be if he could hit some doubles and homers. I'm spinning that as being a compliment as much as I possibly can.

BABIP TELLS ALL: Anderson's BABIP (batting average with balls in play) the last three seasons:

2006: .308
2007: .306
2008: .314

This means that it's a good bet that Anderson will bat in the high .280s to low .290s for the Braves in 2009 given the same amount of playing time and good health.

GOOD WITH THE GAME ON THE LINE: Anderson's Late & Close stats were exemplary last season, including his walk totals:

102 PA, .371/.441/.528, 4 HR, 19 RBI, 12 BB

About 41% of his walks came in Late & Close situations.

My Outlook: Anderson gives the Braves the veteran outfield bat they coveted, but can he keep up his batting average and remain slump-free in a new organization and league? If he still has something left in the tank, he should. I don't know whether he'll continue to regress in the power department, but I do believe he'll keep his batting average from .280-.295 most of the year.

Braves Land Garret Anderson For Left Field Position

The Atlanta Braves, about four days after Ken Griffey, Jr. opted to return to Seattle, signed free agent Garret Anderson to a one-year deal, reported to be worth $2.5 million.

Anderson will form a platoon in left field with Matt Diaz. He has a contact approach at the plate similar to Josh Anderson's; he only had 29 walks last year, but he hit .295. He seems to have a little power left, but only playing time will show if he's done.

Glavine Returning To Braves

Tom Glavine and the Atlanta Braves have agreed on a one-year contract with a $1 million base salary.

According to Ken Rosenthal of FOXSports.com, Glavine's contract is set up so that he makes money for being on the team:

• Base salary - $1 million
• One day on the active roster - $1 million
• Thirty days on the active roster - $1.25 million
• Ninety days on the active roster - $1.25 million

I'm not fully sure what this indicates. It's possible that Glavine could have to fight Charlie Morton, Jo-Jo Reyes, Jorge Campillo and Tommy Hanson for the fifth spot in the Braves rotation. It's a small possibility though. I'm almost certain that Glavine is going to be handed the spot because he's TOM GLAVINE.

I hope upon hope that Glavine makes the most of his final opportunity with the Braves. I have a hard time believing that he'll even reach 10 wins, though. Best of luck, Tommy. We'll see #47 beside #44 quite soon.

Now Applying For Atlanta LOOGY...

JEFF RIDGWAY
Position: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Left
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 210 lbs.
2009 Age: 28

Ridgway, obtained in a trade with the Tampa Bay that sent Willy Aybar and Chase Fontaine to the Rays, is in line to compete for a spot in the Braves bullpen.

Braves fans may associate him with the 189.00 ERA (2 ERA+) he posted in 1/3 inning with the Devil Rays in 2007. They may also lament the fact that Aybar became a valuable bench player to the Rays in their march to the AL pennant last season.

Ridgway is an overhand-motion lefty with a deceptive delivery; he hides the ball well against left-handers.

UBER-SUPER-DUPER-EXTREMELY UNLUCKY: Ridgway sported a 5.47 ERA in 52 2/3 innings. However, for his time in Richmond, his FIP was 3.34 and his BABIP was .418. This indicates that Jeff was very unlucky when he pitched. It's a safe bet to assume that his 5.47 ERA is not normal production from him.

KEEPING IT ON THE GROUND: Against left-handers, Ridgway induced ground balls more than 60% of the time.

My Outlook: Ridgway has a battle for the lefty specialist job lined up in spring. He has a very strong chance to beat out Boone Logan and Eric O'Flaherty for the job. If he does get the job, Braves fans will be quick to forget about the LOOGY woes from last year.

Griffey Picks Seattle, Allegedly Upset Over Story

After a hectic five days, Griffey has decided to re-sign with the Seattle Mariners.

He was allegedly upset over a report by David O'Brien and Terrence Moore of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution that said he told a friend he was going to pick the Braves:

The Braves’ star power is set to rise as Ken Griffey Jr. has decided to play for the Braves, a person close to the veteran outfielder and familiar with the negotiations told the Journal-Constitution.

...

The Braves and Griffey’s agent denied a deal had been struck, and Wren said the team would have no announcement Tuesday. The Seattle Times later also reported that Griffey had chosen the Braves over the Mariners.

So it's clear that O'Brien and Moore jumped the gun on this story. Whether this swayed Junior's decision to join his former team may never be known. I don't believe that it really influenced his decision that much; it would take a very thin-skinned person to get so upset at a premature story that he'd back out of a deal.

This leaves the Braves essentially with three viable options for the outfield:

• Sign free agent Garrett Anderson.
• Trade with the New York Yankees for either Nick Swisher or Xavier Nady.
• Plug young outfielder Brandon Jones into the lineup to platoon with Matt Diaz.

If the Braves still have a little money to throw around, I'd go with option one because it won't cost any prospects. Option three is a last resort, but it would prove whether or not Brandon Jones is going to develop into a major league player.

The Kid Who Is Not So Much A Kid Anymore Talking With Braves

Braves are said to be talking to free agent Ken Griffey, Jr.

Signing him may actually be a good idea.

At this point in his career, Griffey is probably a good drawing card and he would put a few extra butts in the seats in Atlanta. Lord knows that they need as many Braves fans at the park as they can get.

He had an average season last year: .249/.353/.424, 18 HR, 71 RBI, 78 BB, 89 SO, 101 OPS+. That could indicate that he has some production left in the tank. The Braves' best outfielder last season was Greg Norton:

Norton w/Braves, 2008: .246/.361/.427, 7 HR, 31 RBI, 27 R, 31 BB, 40 SO, 108 OPS+

He played 25 games in left, so we can call him an outfielder.

If the Braves end up signing Griffey, I'm not going to be upset. Griffey would only be holding back Brandon Jones and Jordan Schafer, who would spend time in Richmond while Diaz platoons with Griffey. Gregor Blanco or Josh Anderson would man center until the brass deems Schafer ready for the majors.

The Braves' Own Juan Pierre (Except With A Few More Ks)

JOSH ANDERSON
Position: Center Field
Bats: Left
Throws: Right
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 195 lbs.
2009 Age: 26

Josh Anderson was obtained after the 2007 season by the Braves in a straight up trade for reliever Oscar Villarreal. It's safe to say that the Braves have gotten more value out of that particular trade. However, it doesn't mean much.

Anderson played in center field in 30 games last season, and spent six in left field. He broke into the lineup for good on August 28 after a few games of some starts and coming off the bench. Anderson is another slap-hitter, like Gregor Blanco. Unfortunately, he doesn't have any of his teammate's base-on-balls prowess. He does have much more speed, though, and can create a little havoc on the basepaths. However, he needs to be able to get hits to get on base. If he doesn't change his approach when he's slumping, he won't be on base to create said havoc.

HE IS A BASE SWIPER: In 61 games, Anderson stole 10 bases and was caught only once. The catcher who threw him out? The Nationals' Luke Montz, one of the five receivers to be behind the plate for the team.

BLANCO OR ANDERSON?: They're both slap-hitters. Blanco alledgely has speed. So what's the difference?

Blanco: 519 PA, .251/.366/.309, 14 2B, 4 3B, 1 HR, 38 RBI, 74 BB, 89 SO, 13-5 SB-CS, 52 R
Anderson: 146 PA, .294/.338/.426, 7 2B, 1 3B, 3 HR, 12 RBI, 8 BB, 33 SO, 10-1 SB-CS, 21 R

Anderson bats better, but Blanco has more patience. It could be that their productions might have equal value given the same playing time. However, if they're the ones playing in the Braves' outfield together, the team is in trouble.

My Outlook: Anderson has the inside track to the starting center field job because of his previous major league experience with the club. However, if he makes the team, he has to keep his production levels up; Jordan Schafer is breathing down his neck. I expect Schafer to replace Anderson at some point in the season. If that happens, it's unclear whether the Braves would demote Anderson or keep him around to be a fourth or fifth outfielder.

The Best Walking Slap-Hitter Ever!

GREGOR BLANCO
Position: Left Fielder
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Height: 5'11"
Weight: 170 lbs.
2009 Age: 25

For someone who Bobby inserted into the lineup after Bobby Cox lost faith in Matt Diaz being an everyday player, Blanco didn't do too bad. :) He first emerged as a platoon partner for Diaz. However, he was inserted as the full-time center fielder after Mark Kotsay injured his back. Blanco platooned with Omar Infante after Kotsay returned to the lineup.

Blanco is a bit of an anomaly. He's a slap-hitter with very little power. However, his walk totals make him valuable. This may mean he has a role on the team next year. He's only a mediocre defender and doesn't run the bases well, as evidenced by his weak stolen base totals despite his raw speed.

HE'S GOT SOME PATIENCE: Out of every player in baseball history with an 81 OPS+, Blanco had the most walks (74) since Walt Weiss, who had 79 with Florida in 1993. Blanco is sixth overall on the list.

BIG WALKER: Last season, Blanco was second on the Braves in walks (74). Chipper Jones lead the team with 90 free passes.

BLANCO AND WEISS:: Continuing on the first point, Weiss's 1993 season and Blanco's 2008 season were remarkably similar:

Walt Weiss, 1993: 591 PA, .266/.367/.308, 14 2B, 2 SB, 1 HR, 39 RBI, 79 BB, 73 SO
Gregor Blanco, 2008: 514 PA, .251/.366/.309, 14 2B, 4 3B, 1 HR, 38 RBI, 74 BB, 99 SO

My Outlook: If the Braves don't trade for Nick Swisher or Xavier Nady, Blanco may have to fight Brandon Jones and Josh Anderson for a spot in the Braves outfield. He does have the most experience, so he does have an edge. If he makes the team, look for him to continue to provide walks and nothing else.

For The Last Time, It's Spelled With A "Z"!

JAVIER VAZQUEZ
Position: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 195 lbs.
2009 Age: 32

Vazquez made national news last season, but it wasn't for anything he did on the mound. It was in conjunction with comments made about him by White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen:

''He hasn't been," Guillen said Sunday of Vazquez as a big-game pitcher, according to the Chicago Sun-Times. "That's the bottom line.''

''What you see is what you get,'' Guillen said of Vazquez. ''Javy is going to be Javy. I just want him to be aggressive, throw the ball over the plate and knock somebody on their [butt]. That's a big three games for us.

''You have to be mean. Go out there and show them we show up to play, show up to kick your guys' [butts]. And believe me, that will take care of itself."

It's one thing to try to use reverse psychology on a pitcher, but it's a questionable tactic to do it in the media. Predictably, Vazquez went out and lost that particular game to the Twins, giving up five runs in four innings of work. Vazquez won't face any psychological games like that in Atlanta.

Vazquez throws an 89-94 mph fastball, a curve, a biting slider, and a circle-change. He likes to nibble the corners a lot; that seems to be a trademark of many Braves pitchers.

HOPEFULLY HE SIGNS WITH ATLANTA OR AN AL TEAM...: Current free agent Bobby Abreu has the most career home runs hit off of Javier Vazquez: nine.

LOTS OF K'S /= A WIN?: Javier Vazquez struck out 9 or 10 batters in seven games last season. His record in those games: 2-5.

ONE OF THE KINGS OF K'S: In his career period of 1999-2008, Vazquez is third in total strikeouts with 1,876 punchouts. Only Pedro Martinez (1,896) and Randy Johnson (2,460) are ahead of him.

My Outlook: I expect Vazquez to do what he does best: eat innings and strike out some people. The wins should come; I think the Braves may have a good offense when the team is set for the season. Plus, moving into a neutral park from a hitter's park should help him a little bit.

The Cobra's Ready To Strike

MIKE GONZALEZ
Position: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Left
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 213 lbs.
2009 Age: 31

The Cobra is ready to pitch a full season now. It will be fully appreciated by the Braves.

Last season, Gonzalez started the year still on the mend from Tommy John surgery. The Braves tried a lot of pitchers at closer, including Peter Moylan, Rafael Soriano, Jeff Bennett and Manny Acosta. Gonzalez finally returned on June 18, pitching a scoreless inning against the Rangers. He continued to serve as the Braves' closer, going 14-16 in save opportunities.

THE STREAK IS OVER: Gonzalez blew the save against Colorado on September 9 thanks to Garrett Atkins. That was Gonzalez's first blown save since June 25, 2004 against Cincinnati. He converted 38 straight save opportunities over four seasons.

LACK OF SAVES, BUT NOT FOR LACK OF TRYING: When Gonzalez converted his fourth save on July 18th, he became the Braves' team leader in that category. No other Brave had more than three saves up to that point.

HOME NOT SWEET HOME OR FUN WITH SMALL SAMPLE SIZES, PART FIVE: In front of the home crowd in 2008, Gonzalez was pounded a few times. He was 0-2 with six saves, but he had a 7.27 ERA in 17 1/3 innings pitched. He allowed 19 hits and 19 total runs. However, he walked just nine and struck out 30 batters.

My Outlook: As long as Gonzalez can pitch, he will be the Braves' closer. They don't have anyone good enough to replace him. Soriano can't do it very well. Maybe Moylan could, but he has very limited experience in the role. I'm looking forward (and hoping) for a full season from Mike. A final note: If the Braves aren't in contention by July, Gonzalez will most likely be traded.

Ganbate, Kawakami-San!

KENSHIN KAWAKAMI
Position: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Height: 5'10"
Weight: 198 lbs.
2009 Age: 34

The Braves' first major league Japanese player is a bit of a mystery. No one knows for sure how well he'll do in Major League Baseball. His curve is said to be as good as Roy Oswalt's and he has a fastball that tops out in the low 90s. However, he still needs to adjust to the American baseball, which is larger and not as tightly wound as the Japanese baseball. It could affect the way his pitches break if he doesn't figure it out.

VERY STRONG START: Kawakami won the Rookie of the Year Award in 1998. He finished third in the league in wins (14), second in ERA (2.57), third in strikeouts (124), second in WHIP (1.08) and tied with the league lead in shutouts (3).

HE HAS BEEN WITH A FEW WINNERS: Kawakami helped the Chunichi Dragons to the Central League title in 1999, 2006, and 2007. The Dragons won the Japan Series title in 2007; it was their first such title in 53 years.

NO-NONI KENSHIN: (If you can stomach my attempt at a horrible pun, continue to read. For those of you who don't get it, continue to read as well.) Kawakami tossed a no-hitter on August 1, 2002 against the Yomiuri Giants in Tokyo, striking out 11 batters.

My Outlook: It all depends on whether or not Kawakami adjusts to the American baseball and style of play. If he does, expect him to be an optimal middle-of-the-rotation starter. If he doesn't get used to the American baseball or style of play, he'll become another Kei Igawa. Let's hope it's the former.

With Lots To Prove, He Wants To Prove

CASEY KOTCHMAN
Position: First Baseman
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 210 lbs.
2009 Age: 26

On July 29, 2008, the Braves traded soon-to-be free agent Mark Teixeira to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim for two players. One was pitching prospect Stephen Marek, and the other was first baseman Casey Kotchman. Once regarded as the Angels' top prospect, Kotchman has yet to live up to his 20-25 homer potential, though.

After he was traded to the Braves, Kotchman had a very hard time adjusting. He brought his glove, but not his bat, hitting just .157/.259/.214 with no homers and five RBIs in his first 20 games as a Brave. He was put on the bereavement list for a few weeks because his mother was suffering from an illness. That, and the transition to a totally new organization, may have been affecting his play.

Kotchman has first base all to himself; there is no immediate threat to usurp him from the job. Still, it's up to him to produce to keep the job. As long as he is able to hit to all fields and put the ball in play like he can, he'll be the Braves first baseman for this year, and maybe the next.

AWFUL AUGUST: In his first month as a Brave, Kotchman dealt with a lot of issues, finishing with a .180/.292/.246 line, with no home runs and five RBIs. Those were garnered in his first 20 games, as mentioned above.

OLD PROMISE: In 2005, Baseball America called Kotchman the top prospect in the Angels organization and was sixth-best in the country, according to editors John Manuel and Jim Callis.

HIGH LEVERAGE LEADER: In "high leverage" situations last season, Kotchman batted .340/.362/.520 with four homers and 38 RBIs.

My Outlook: September of 2008 showed that Kotchman was able to hit more like he was "supposed" to. If he can keep his production around or just below those numbers, he should be productive.

The Second Baseman They Don't Want At Second

KELLY JOHNSON
Position: Second Base
Bats: Left
Throws: Right
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 205 lbs.
2009 Age: 27

Johnson's name kept popping up in trade rumors in the 2008 off-season; at one point, he was rumored to be traded to St. Louis straight up for outfielder Ryan Ludwick. It was also rumored that he would be moved to left if the Braves had signed Rafael Furcal or traded for Brian Robets. As it stands, Johnson will remain at second, and he should.

At the dish, Johnson continued to be streaky. His selective approach at the plate allowed him to garner 52 walks. but he also missed a lot, striking out 113 times. That's not a bad thing, necessarily, but his OBP dropped from .375 to .349. That may have been due to the fact that he was batting in the lower end of the order, but it may be a slight concern.

His defense, though much maligned, isn't that bad; his RF was 4.77 (4.07) and RF9 was 5.16 (4.83). His only problem seems to be the backhand going to his right. Kelly's position as the Atlanta second sacker is secure. For now.

SIZZLING SEPTEMBER, OR FUN WITH SMALL SAMPLE SIZES, PART FOUR: Johnson smacked pitchers around in the last month of the season, going .398/.429/.643 with three homers and 19 RBIs. That was his best RBI month by five.

TABLE SETTER: When he's the first batter in an inning, and that occurred 133 times last season, Kelly .314/.391/.458 with 11 doubles and two homers. He scored 26 runs as well.

HE LIKES PICKING AND CHOOSING: In all of Kelly's three ball counts (120 PAs), Kelly batted just .192 (13-68), but he had 52 walks in those counts, making his OBP .542.

LUCKY AGAINST LEFTIES: Last season, Kelly batted .333/.366/.433 against lefties in 165 PAs. However, it may have been mostly luck; his BABIP (Batting average with balls in play) was .398.

My Outlook: Johnson has made a bumpy, but successful transition to second base. In just his second year, he has firmly set himself in the middle-tier of second basemen in the National League. He will continue that this year, easily.

No Sophomore Slump From Him?

JAIR JURRJENS
Position: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Height: 6'1"
Weight: 160 lbs.
2009 Age: 23

Acquired from the Detroit Tigers before the 2008 season, Jurrjens was immediately plugged into the rotation and showed that he had excellent command. He works with a four-seam fastball, a two-seam, change-up and slurve. Jurrjens started out strong in the first half, going 9-6 with a 3.00 ERA, but seemed to regress in the second half, going 4-6 with a 4.46 ERA. It may have had something to do with this being his first full season (188 1/3 IP a career high) and being a little unlucky (.307 BABIP, .280 league average). It's essential to the Braves rotation that Jurrjens becomes a vital cog.

THERE'S NO PLACE LIKE THE ROAD: Jurrjens had eight home starts in the second half where he allowed four runs or more (2-4).

NO JUNE SWOON: In four games, Jurrjens was 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA. He walked just 7 batters and allowed just eight runs, five earned.

MAYBE HE STILL LIKES THE AL?: In three interleague games last season, Jurrjens had a 0.00 ERA, but went 1-0. The reason? He allowed five unearned runs.

PART THREE OF FUN WITH SMALL SAMPLE SIZES: Jurrjens seemed to work best with Corky Miller, if that's possible. In the three games that Jurrjens pitched with Miller behind the plate,

My Outlook: Jurrjens has to go out and practically prove himself all over again. He'll succeed at that and then some. Expect him to pitch like a #2 starter for most of the year and act like an ace on several occasions.

I May As Well Get Him Over With...

JEFF FRANCOEUR
Position: Right Fielder
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Height: 6'4"
Weight: 220 lbs.
2009 Age: 26

It has been a crazy three and a half years. There has been a lot of promise. There has been a lot of frustration. There has been a lot of anger. There has been a lot of booing. There has been a lot of forgiving. There has been a lot of lowered expectations.

Get ready for another go-around of that this year.

Francoeur put up the worst year of his career in 2008; he hit career lows in batting average, slugging and home runs. His on-base percentage was only .001 better than his career-worst .293 in 2006.

Truncating his season was a four-day stint in AA Mississippi. He infamously felt "betrayed" by that demotion. When he was called back up after four days, everyone questioned his return, including me. The four days of beating up on pitchers he should beat up certainly didn't help him perform any better:

.234/.287/.374 before the demotion.
.242/.303/.340 after his return.

Francoeur has attempted to make changes though: he's trying a new stance:

After nonstop tinkering last summer, Francoeur has locked into one approach he thinks will work. Using some advice and video recommended by former Braves Mark DeRosa and Mark Teixeira, Francoeur adopted a more balanced position at the plate, with his hands farther back and a shorter stride. He’s been working it into his muscle memory, hitting four times a week since Nov. 15.

Chipper Jones likes the look of what Francoeur has been doing at Jones’ indoor hitting facility in Suwanee. “His weight distribution is right where it needs to be and his mindset is right where it needs to be,” Jones said. “His mindset is from gap to gap. You can’t be out on your front foot the way he was all year last year, and head moving up and down, and his stride was too long, and thinking about pulling the ball around the left field foul pole. His weight distribution is allowing him to think right center to left center and he is killing balls, just absolutely crushing it."

Hopefully, he keeps with it and that translates to results in real baseball. We're all counting on him.

SOME HOMERS IS BETTER THAN NO HOMERS: Franocuer is 6th in Braves history for home runs by batters from their Age 21 to Age 24 seasons. He has 73 home runs so far in his career. That's six less than Dale Murphy and three more than Brain McCann in the same period.

ON THE FLIP SIDE: In the same age range, with a minimum of 2000 PAs, the only Brave that has a lower OBP than Francoeur does (.312) is Rabbitt Maranville (.310), a light-hitting shortstop that had two stints with the Braves franchise.

NATIONAL PRIDE: The game of Francoeur's career was on April 12, 2008, when he torched Nationals pitching for two homers and a two-run single. The 3-run and 2-run taters gave him seven RBIs on the day; a career high.

THE CLUTCH BAG WAS EMPTY, OR PART TWO OF FUN WITH SMALL SAMPLE SIZES: Francoeur was abysmal in 2008 with runners in scoring position, in general:

RISP: 203 PA, .192/.276/.316, 34-177, 6 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 59 RBI
2 outs, RISP: 89 PA, .175/.258/.238, 14-80, 3 2B, 1 3B, 0 HR, 19 RBI
Bases loaded: 34 PA, .182/.206/.242, 6-33, 2 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 17 RBI

My Outlook: I have none. It's virtually impossible to tell what Francoeur will do this season. All any Braves fan can do is have faith that Jeff can put a decent season together. If there is more failure, that faith may be dashed completely.

So Good Jake Peavy Didn't Want To Be Traded For Him

YUNEL ESCOBAR
Position: Shortstop
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 200 lbs.
2009 Age: 26

In his first full season as Atlanta's shortstop, Escobar had a season that somewhat met expectations. His slugging dropped from .451 to .401 with 232 more plate appearances; he hit one less double as well (25 to 24). Thus, his batting consists mainly of singles. His fielding is average compared to the rest of the league, but his arm is one of the strongest in all of baseball.

HOTHEAD?: Escobar has earned a reputation for wearing his heart on his sleeve and voicing his displeasure with calls. Vehemently. Whether that will affect him with umpires in the future remains to be seen.

YUNEL'S FAVORITE NUMBERS: 3 AND 0: Last season, Escobar had 19 3-0 counts. His line on that count: 1-1, HR, 3 RBI, 18 BB. Four of those walks were intentional and the home run was a walk-off shot that defeated the Marlins on June 2nd.

STRONG SEASONS (OR WEAK HISTORY): For all Braves shorstops with at least 300 PAs in a season, Escobar has the ninth and 25th highest OPSes in a season. His OPS+ totals from those same seasons are 11th and 32nd in Braves shortstop history as well.

My Outlook: Escobar should provide more of the same production as last season. Maybe he'll hit a few more doubles. That would be an easy way to step up his game. If he does, he'll move into the lower-upper tier of shortstops. As for now, he's in the middle-tier.

The Great Stabilizer?

DEREK LOWE
Position: Pitcher
Bats: R
Throws: R
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 170 lbs.
2009 Age: 36

2008 Stats
34 GS
211 IP
194 H
84 R
76 ER
14 HR
45 BB
1.92 BB/9
147 K
6.27 K/9
3.24 ERA
131 ERA+

After being denied the opportunity to have A. J. Burnett in their starting rotation, the Braves opted to sign the 36-year old Lowe to a four-year contract. Lowe's a well-known sinkerballer. He also has a curve, change and a cut fastball. He seems to be Atlanta's type of pitcher; a control guy who gives up few walks and allows lots of ground balls. He duplicated his career high in strikeouts last season (147) and had his lowest ERA since 2002 as well (3.24). The move from Dodgers Stadium, a notorious pitcher's park, to Turner Field, a neutral park, shouldn't hurt him.

BOY, I'M GLAD HE'S ON OUR TEAM NOW: Lowe had two starts against the Braves last season. In the first start, which came in Atlanta, he was shredded for five runs, three earned, in 4 1/3 innings. His second start was much better; he went 7 2/3 innings, allowing just two hits and one run as the Dodgers won 2-1.

UNLUCKY LOWE: In 9 no-decisions last season, Lowe went 52 1/3 innings and allowed just 19 runs (18 earned). He walked 13 batters and struck out 41 of them.

DURABLE DEREK: Since he became a starter in 2002, Lowe has the ninth-most innings pitched in all of baseball: 1456 IP. Mark Buehrle of the Chicago White Sox has the most in that period (1575 IP).

My Outlook: Lowe says for Braves fans to expect big things from him. All I expect from him is to do his job. Keep the ball on the ground and don't walk anybody. If he does those things, and I think he will, those expectations should be met.

Reserve A Spot In The Upper Deck For His Number Right Now!

CHIPPER JONES
Position: Third Base
Bats: S
Throws: R
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 185 lbs.
2009 Age: 37

2008 Stats:
534 PAs
.364/.470/.574
82 R
160 H
24 2B
1 3B
22 HR
75 RBI
90 BB
61 SO
174 OPS+

Larry Wayne "Chipper" Jones further cemented his place in Atlanta Braves history. Despite near-constant battles with lingering injuries, Jones earned the National League titles for batting average and on-base percentage. His 174 OPS+ (adjusted OPS) was also a career high.

CHIPPER AND SKATES: Jones is the ninth player in Braves franchise history to lead the NL in on-base percentage. He's the first Brave since Lonnie Smith to do it. "Skates" paced the Senior Circuit in OBP in 1989 (.415).

ALL-STAR AGAIN: Chipper was elected to start the All-Star Game for the first time in seven years; it was his sixth career All-Star Game and fourth career start.

BRINGING THE STICK: On his way to the batting title, Chipper was chasing .400 for most of the year. He was up to .421 as late as June 6th, but he dipped below the .400 level on June 19th for good. His .364 average was the highest by a Brave since Rico Carty's league-leading .366 average in 1970.

PRESIDENTIAL POWER: Chipper hit the first home run in Nationals Park history... while President George W. Bush was in the ESPN booth chatting with announcers Joe Morgan and Jon Miller.

A TRUE LEADER(BOARD): Chipper ranks in the top 10 in many categories in Braves franchise history:

Games: 2023 (3rd, 200 behind Eddie Mathews)
At Bats: 7337 (3rd, 712 behind Mathews)
Plate Appearances: 8677 (3rd, 856 behind Mathews)
Batting Average: .310 (7th, tied with Hank Aaron, .001 behind Lance Richbourg)
On Base Percentage: .408 (2nd, .048 behind Billy Hamilton)
Slugging Average: .548 (2nd, .019 behind Aaron)
OPS: .956 (1st, .012 ahead of Aaron)
Runs: 1378 (3rd, 74 behind Mathews)
Hits: 2277 (2nd, 1323 behind Aaron)
Doubles: 449 (2nd, 151 behind Aaron)
Home Runs: 408 (3rd, 85 behind Mathews)
RBI: 1374 (3rd, 14 behind Mathews)
BB: 1242 (3rd, 55 behind Aaron)
SO: 1142 (5th, 152 behind Aaron)
Total Bases: 4020 (3rd, 138 behind Mathews)
OPS+: 145 (2nd, tied with Mathews, 13 behind Aaron)

My Outlook: Chipper has a tough act to follow, but as long as he can stay on the field, he'll produce. It's hard to say whether or not he'll approach 30 homers or 100 RBIs next season. I wouldn't bet on the homers, but I expect his doubles amount to rise from the 24 he hit last season.

BRAVES PLAYER PROFILES - Leading Off

BRIAN McCANN
Position: Catcher
Bats: L
Throws: R
Height: 6'3"
Weight: 210 lbs.
2009 Age: 25

2008 Stats:
573 PAs
.301/.373/.523
68 R
153 H
42 2B
1 3B
23 HR
87 RBI
57 BB
64 SO
134 OPS+

Brian Michael McCann is simply one of the best catchers in Major League Baseball, and that's because of his bat. When he's at the plate, Brian uses a short stroke through the strike zone to drive the ball to center and right. McCann lacks agility defensively, but he's not inept there. One could call him a "sound defender" and get away with it.

McCANN IS THE MAN: Last season, Brian led all catchers with 42 doubles and tied for the home run lead with NL Rookie of the Year backstop Geovany Soto (23).

BETTER LATE THAN NEVER: McCann got into the All-Star Game last year... in the 15th inning as a defensive replacement. Russell Martin had played from the 5th to the 14th inning. Unfortunately, the game ended when Justin Morneau beat McCann's tag to score on Michael Young's fly ball as the AL won 4-3.

ALL-STAR STREAK: McCann is the first Braves catcher to make three NL All-Star teams in a row since Joe Torre (1964-67). Del Crandall also made four All-Star teams a in row (1953-56).

PHILLIE KILLER (OR PART 1 OF FUN WITH SMALL SAMPLE SIZES): In 18 games against the Braves' NL East rival, McCann batted .356/.472/.678 with three homers, 17 RBIs and 12 walks. He especially liked to face Jamie Moyer, Cole Hamels, and Brett Myers

Moyer: 20 PAs, .444/.500/.722 - 8-18, 2 2B, 1 HR, 6 RBI
Hamels: 25 PAs, .381/.480/.619 - 8-21, 5 2B, 5 RBI
Myers, 29 PAs, .370/.414/.640 - 10-27, 4 2B, 1 HR, 6 RBI

A TRIPLE? WELL, MAYBE JUST ONE...: McCann has one triple in his career. It came off of Doug Waechter of the Florida Marlins on April 24, 2008. It came leading off the bottom of the eighth inning. Jeff Francoeur drove him in with a sacrifice fly.

My Outlook: Expect more of the same out of him this year. 140 games, .300 average, 35 doubles, 20 homers as a base. He's very capable of reaching those benchmarks.

Braves Agree To Contract With Lowe

BRAVES SIGN:
P Derek Lowe

He's the de facto ace the Braves have been searching for. It's not much, but it's something.

David O'Brien of the AJC reports that the Braves have agreed to a four-year, $60 million contract with 36-year old starter Derek Lowe. The deal would be announced after Lowe passes a physical.

Lowe pitched last season with the Dodgers. He was 14-11 with a 3.24 ERA (131 ERA+) in 34 games and 211 innings of work. He matched his career high of strikeouts (147), set in 2007, and had a career-low in walks since he became a full-time starter (45).

I certainly hope that Lowe is up to pitching the next four years, because he's going to be doing a lot of it. The Braves are counting on him, and so are us fans. If Lowe can continue his recent pitching trends, he should succeed in Atlanta's neutral Turner Field. The amount of money bugs me a little bit, but such is today's salary climate. Welcome to Atlanta, Derek.

SIGNING GRADE: B-

EDIT: Made it look like my other posts.

Braves Keep Bench Together, Sign Infante

BRAVES SIGN:
IF-LF Omar Infante

Utilityman Omar Infante has signed a two-year extension with the Atlanta Braves with an option for a third year. Infante batted .293/.338/.416 with three home runs in 348 PAs. His 40 RBIs were the most in three years for him.

Due to injuries, Infante started in five different positions, including third base, left field, shortstop and second base. In 14 pinch-hit appearances, Infante had just two hits. He walked once and hit two sacrifice flies.

His primary job will be to fill in for Chipper Jones when he has his yearly injuries. He will most-likely continue to fill in for Yunel Escobar and Gregor Blanco as well.

This move really doesn't do anything more than keep the bench stable. There is value in that, however. It's a very good move.

SIGNING GRADE: A-

EDIT: Added title.
SECOND EDIT: Made it look like my other posts by adding the "BRAVES SIGN" up at the top.

Braves Reach Deal With Former Sawamura Award Winner Kawakami

BRAVES SIGN:
P Kenshin Kawakami

At long last, the Braves have reached an agreement with a pitcher!

Atlanta has reached a deal with former Chunichi Dragons pitcher Kenshin Kawakami. A physical will be conducted in Atlanta and the deal would be finalized next week.

I'm really excited about this signing; I can't wait to see what Kawakami can do over here in the United States. He's said to be a "crafty" veteran pitcher, with a fastball that tops in the low 90s, a slow curve and a good cut fastball.

Kawakami has had a distinguished NPB career:

• Won Rookie of the Year in 1998, going 14-6 with a 2.57 ERA, striking out 124 batters in 161 1/3 innings.
• Put up a career-low 2.35 ERA in 2002.
• Won the Sawamura Award in 2004, the Japanese equivalent of the Cy Young Award, and the Central League MVP. His record was 17-7, and he sported a 3.32 ERA in 192 1/3 innings. He struck out 176 batters.
• Duplicated his 17-7 record in 2006 and finished with a 2.51 ERA and a career-high strikeout total of 194 in 215 innings.
• Was a member of the 2007 Chunichi Dragons team that won the Japan Series, their first such title since 1954.

If Kawakami makes a successful transition to Major League Baseball, the Braves will have a crucial piece to improving the performance (and image) of their club. It's a calculated risk that I'm glad the Braves were willing to take. Welcome to the Braves, Kawakami-san!

SIGNING GRADE: B

The grade takes the risk factor into account. I believe it's that significant.

EDIT: Added my opinion and grade.
SECOND EDIT: Made it look like the rest of my posts.

Smoltz To Sign With Red Sox

John Smoltz is a career Brave no more.

The Boston Red Sox and Smoltz have agreed to a one-year contract The contract gives Smoltz $5.5 million guaranteed and also provides $4.5 million in incentives that are "very attainable". Therefore, the Red Sox could be paying John Smoltz $10 million overall.

The realist in me says that this is an excellent deal for Smoltz. He gets $5.5 million dollars even if he can't pitch a single inning next year. On the other hand, if he can pitch, he could earn up to $10 million for the entire year. It's a win-win situation for him.

The fan in me says that it is very sad to see Smoltz go. It's always sad to see a favorite player go. I hope he is able to pitch in Boston and succeed in what is probably his final season.

JOHN SMOLTZ'S CAREER BRAVES STATS

STRIKEOUTS
1. John Smoltz - 3011
2. Phil Niekro - 2912
3. Warren Spahn - 2493
4. Tom Glavine - 2091
5. Greg Maddux - 1828
6. Kid Nichols - 1667
7. Vic Willis - 1161
8. Jim Whitney - 1157
9. Lew Burdette - 923
10. Charlie Buffinton - 911

SAVES
1. John Smoltz - 154
2. Gene Garber - 141
3. Mark Wohlers - 112
4. John Rocker - 83
5. Cecil Upshaw - 78
6. Rick Camp - 57
7. Mike Stanton - 55
8. Don McMahon - 50
T9. Kerry Ligtenberg - 44
T9. Greg McMichael - 44

K/9 IP
1. John Smoltz - 7.98
2. Kevin Millwood - 7.53
3. Kent Mercker - 7.32
4. Steve Bedrosian - 7.23
5. Denny Lemaster - 7.03
6. Greg Maddux - 6.51
7. Tony Cloninger - 6.18
8. Steve Avery - 6.00
9. Pete Smith - 5.84
10. Gene Garber - 5.68

WINS
1. Warren Spahn - 356
2. Kid Nichols - 329
3. Phil Niekro - 268
4. Tom Glavine - 244
5. John Smoltz - 210
6. Greg Maddux - 194
7. Lew Burdette - 179
8. Vic Willis - 151
T9. Tommy Bond - 149
T9. John Clarkson - 149

WHIP
1. Tom Hughes - 1.022
2. Greg Maddux - 1.051
3. Jim Whitney - 1.082
4. Art Nehf - 1.116
5. Tommy Bond - 1.120
6. Dick Rudolph - 1.154
7. John Smoltz - 1.170
8. Ken Johnson - 1.171
9. Charlie Buffinton - 1.179
10. Pat Ragan - 1.180

And this is for anyone that is depressed by this news:

Comic Book Guy agrees with you...



Worst. Off-season. Ever.

Mr. Pinch-Hitter Re-Signs

BRAVES SIGN:
LF-1B Greg Norton

The Atlanta Braves re-signed utility player and pinch-hitter Greg Norton to a one-year deal.

The 35-year old Norton was claimed off of waivers from the Seattle Mariners on May 5, 2008. In 202 plate appearances, Norton hit at a .246/.361/.427 clip, with a 108 OPS+ and three pinch-hit home runs, for the Braves.

If the Braves don't have a better option in left field, Norton may be asked to play there. However, the organization has signed him for his pinch-hitting prowess and he should be productive in that role that very well. This is a small, but very responsible, signing.

SIGNING GRADE: A-

Braves Sign Niekro To Contract

BRAVES SIGN:
1B (P) Lance Niekro

No, it's not Phil.

The Atlanta Braves signed retired first baseman Lance Niekro to a minor-league contract and invited him to spring training. They want to turn him into a knuckleballer.

The 30-year old Niekro's previous pitching experience came in a minor league game against the Salt Lake Bees, a Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim affiliate. Lance pitched just two-thirds of an inning for the Fresno Grizzlies. He allowed three hits and two runs. He also hit a batter.

Lance's father is the late Joe Niekro and his uncle is Hall of Famer Phil Niekro.

I'm not expecting much from him (what is there to expect?), but it will certainly be fun to see how he does in 2009. Maybe, just maybe, he can continue the Niekro's knuckleball tradition.

EDIT: Cleaned it up a little.

Furcal Stays With LA, Situation Angers Wren

Rafael Furcal must have had Should I Stay Or Should I Go? by the Clash stuck in his head the past few days. He has decided to stay.

According to the AP, Furcal agreed with the Dodgers on a three-year, $30 million contract Wednesday night. The deal is worth $6.5 million next season, $8.5 million in 2010 and $12 million in 2011. There is also a vesting option for 2012 and a $3 million buyout. The option will be picked up automatically if Furcal meets certain requirements.

On Tuesday, it was believed (and reported) that the Braves had reached an agreement with Furcal for a three year contract worth $30 million in total. However, Furcal's agent, Paul Kinzer, disputed that claim on Wednesday:

"They know we didn't have a signed contract, that we didn't have even a verbal agreement. We had, 'Things look very good and Raffy's going to sleep on it,'"

Frank Wren, Atlanta's general manager, told AJC Braves beat writer David O'Brien that there was a gentleman's agreement in place with Kinzer:

“I think you have to be upset with the turn of events,” Braves general manager Frank Wren said. “We usually don’t do business this way. You don’t expect people you have to deal with to do business that way.”

Wren said he and Kinzer negotiated all contract details Monday night and the Braves sent a term sheet to the agent’s office for Furcal to sign Tuesday morning. Term sheets are the final step, after an agreement is reached.

Wren said the term sheet was never returned.

“We were very surprised,” he said. “After reaching an agreement on Monday night, and being asked to produce a term sheet for signature on Tuesday morning, which we did, we were surprised that they didn’t return the term sheet. … All of a sudden, they said they needed to go back to the Dodgers.”

That's exactly what Furcal did.

There is plenty of blame to go around in regards to this situation. Wren should have known better than to trust Kinzer like that in this situation. At the same time, Kinzer's actions were very dishonest and self-serving.

Now that this situation is over, my guess is that Wren is just going to sign a few "mediocre" free agents like Jon Garland or Randy Wolf. He may make a run for Ben Sheets, Pat Burrell or Adam Dunn since his original plans have been shot down.

EDIT: I updated the salary info, which is now reflected in the article.

Braves Get Their Backup Man To McCann

BRAVES SIGN:
C Dave Ross

Free agent catcher Dave Ross, who last played on the Boston Red Sox, signed a two-year contract with the Atlanta Braves on Thursday. He'll serve as the backup to Brian McCann. The deal is reported to be worth $3.5 million over two years.

Ross will be another participant in the long line of backup catchers that Braves manager Bobby Cox likes to employ. Ross would be a decent weapon coming off the bench; he can draw a few walks and hit one out every now and then. In fact, he's already an instant upgrade over Corky Miller. ;)

The skill level of a backup catcher is only noticed when the starter is injured. However, if Ross can produce when called upon, he'll be very valuable.

SIGNING GRADE: B

EDIT: Updated links and formatting to reflect Ross signing with the Braves.

Braves Swap For Vazquez; Send Four, Including Flowers

Starting pitcher Javier Vazquez, an 11-year veteran of four teams, now has a fifth team to add to his resume. The Atlanta Braves and Chicago White Sox agreed to a six-player swap that makes Vazquez an Atlanta Brave:

ATLANTA GETS:
RHP Javier Vazquez
LHP Boone Logan

CHICAGO GETS:
C Tyler Flowers
SS Brent Lillibridge
3B Jon Gilmore
LHP Santos Rodriguez

The blue chip prospect in this deal is catcher Tyler Flowers, who tore up the Arizona Fall League this past month, batting .387 with an AFL-leading 12 homers and 1.433 OPS in 20 games. He should start the 2009 season with the AA Birmingham Barons of the Southern League.

Shortstop Brent Lillibridge fell from top prospect status last season; his 2008 campaign was his worst as a player. Lillibridge batted just .220/.294/.344 in 403 plate appearances with Richmond last year. He was called up periodically because of injuries to Yunel Escobar and Martin Prado, but Brent only had a .200/.238/.338 line with six doubles and one home run in 85 plate appearances with Atlanta.

The other two prospects, Jon Gilmore and Santos Rodriguez, are promising youngsters. Gilmore, a two-year pro, finished his Age 19 season in Low A Rome. He batted .337 with four home runs in Danville, the top rookie farm club for the Braves, before being promoted. Rodriguez, a 20-year old lefty reliever, completed his second tour of duty with the short-season Gulf Coast Braves last year. In 29 innings in 2008, he struck out 45 batters and allowed just nine earned runs.

Javier Vazquez's most recent season was a bit of a bad-luck streak. He lost five starts and had three no-decisions in which he gave up three runs or less. That contributed to his less-than-sparkling 12-16 record. His main problem seems to be the gopher ball; he hasn't gone a single season without giving up at least 20 home runs. Still, if he can continue to keep his walks down and eat innings up, he'll be a welcome addition to the Braves (whose offense may also give him some more hard-luck losses) for the next couple of seasons.

Lefty reliever Boone Logan, who is turning 24 next year, had a decent first half in 2008 with the White Sox, but he completely imploded in the second half of the year. He may be best used as a LOOGY in Atlanta. Ironically, the Braves already have two relievers that fit that bill already (Royce Ring and Jeff Ridgway). Still, a strong showing in spring would guarantee him a spot in the pen, where Cox may use three lefties next season.

After having an evening to digest the idea of having Vazquez on the team and the "price" it took to get him, I've come to a conclusion. I believe that this trade is not horrible because it does give the Braves exactly what they need: a #2 starter who pitches like an ace at his very best and a #3 starter at his worst. It is also not a forgone conclusion that the Braves will only have him for just two years. It is quite possible that the Braves may be able to retain him for a few more years if he wants to stay. A lot can happen in just two years, whether it be good or bad.

TRADE GRADE: B+

Tazawa Rejects Braves' Offer; Close To Deal With Red Sox

I hoped that Tazawa would sign with Atlanta, but it is now evident that he will not be signing with the Braves. According to NBC Sports:

The 22-year-old right-hander contacted the Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners and Atlanta Braves on Friday to reject their offers, Kyodo News agency reported Friday.

Tazawa is expected to hold a news conference early next week to announce his decision. He reportedly received offers from the Rangers, Braves, Mariners and Red Sox.

Naturally, this means that the Braves will have to look elsewhere for future pitching options. However, that is the only bad thing about this. I hope that if Tazawa signs with the Red Sox that he has a long and fruitful MLB career.

Wren's Waiting, Towers...

ESPN.com - Everything went downhill in a hurry in San Diego

Sean McAdam's article talks about how much turmoil the Padres have incurred lately. Problems include owner John Moore's divorce, the team's unceremonious dumping of their Hall of Fame closer Trevor Hoffman (let's face it, he's going to be elected into the Hall), and the inability of Towers to trade ace Jake Peavy:

To cut costs, Moores has ordered a slashing of the payroll. Hoffman, baseball's all-time saves leader and the face of the franchise, was angered when the Padres pulled back their $4 million offer for next year. He expects to finish his career elsewhere. Towers has been openly soliciting offers for Peavy.

The payroll, which was $73 million for the 2008 season, is likely to be sliced nearly in half for the 2009 season, forcing Towers' hand.

"It's kind of difficult to have one player eat up a quarter of your payroll," Towers said. "We lost 99 games with Jake, and we're not going to get better by keeping him and his salary."

Although talks with Atlanta and the Cubs have been on-again, off-again, the hope is that Towers can land three or four low-cost, high-ceiling players and begin the team's rebuilding. There's precedent: Before the 2006 season, he swapped pitchers Adam Eaton and Akinori Otsuka to Texas and got Young and first baseman Adrian Gonzalez in return.

Talks are off right now, officially, but I have a strong suspicion that Towers will be the one going to Wren in order to get a deal done. Corey Brock writes about the problems as well on MLB.com:

The lack of progress in a deal involving pitcher Jake Peavy has had a significant effect on the Padres' ability to address their other roster needs this offseason.

And for a team coming off a 99-loss season in 2008, there are several areas that need to be filled, as general manager Kevin Towers wants to add starting pitching, relief pitching and shore up his bench for 2009.

But not knowing if the team can or will move Peavy and his $11 million contract for 2009 has all but left Towers in a standby mode until the future of the 2007 National League Cy Young Award winner is decided.

"That's pretty much it," Towers said. "It's certainly a large sum of money we would be moving. Once that's decided, we will have a better idea of what holes we would be plugging."

If the Padres decide not to move Peavy in a deal -- Towers said late last week no deal is imminent -- then the 27-year-old will be the highest-paid player on a team that is looking at a dramatically-reduced payroll in 2009.

To date, the Padres and Braves have had extensive talks, but Atlanta GM Frank Wren indicated a week ago that the Braves were moving on. Still, Towers said the two sides had agreed upon at least part of the compensation package, and that he wouldn't rule out future talks with the Braves.

While the Padres haven't publicly committed to an official payroll total for 2009, it's expected to be in the range of $50 million, perhaps lower. The payroll in 2008 was $73.6 million.

Towers has said that he wants some starting pitching in return for Peavy, and he certainly would not turn his back on Major League-ready relief help to assist a bullpen that struggled mightily in 2008 and will likely be without closer Trevor Hoffman, who is a free agent and is not expected to return.

"It's more pitching than position players," Towers said of what he would be looking for in the event the Padres get permission to trade Peavy, who has a no-trade clause.

If we take all of this at face value, it seems as if Towers still wants Escobar and some of the Braves' pitching, like Charlie Morton, Jo-Jo Reyes and Jeff Locke. I think it's all a matter of him going back to Wren, because he needs to move Peavy and he seems very reluctant to take the Cubs' inferior package of Pie, Marshall and others because Chicago doesn't want to trade pitcher Jeff Samardzija.

As for Peavy having to approve any trade, I still question his concerns about playing in Atlanta. I've touched on that before, but I'll say it again: Why in the world was he acting like the Braves would never get past the Phillies and Mets while he pitches for them? Why in the world was he acting like the only thing the Braves would do is trade for him?

Braves Take Another Mariner Thrown Overboard

The Atlanta Braves claimed left-handed reliever Eric O'Flaherty off of waivers from the Seattle Mariners yesterday and placed him on the 40-man roster. This means that he isn't exposed to the Rule V Draft.

O'Flaherty had his best season in 2007, when he pitched 52 1/3 innings and allowed 45 hits. He allowed just one hoome run and walked 20 batters. He struck out 36. He had an awful time last season, with a 20.25 ERA in 6 2/3 innings. He battled back problems last season, however.

Even though I view the back problem as a huge red flag, O'Flaherty performed superbly against left-handers a season ago, holding them to just a .182 average (.221 BABIP). Eric could very well make the squad and be a new LOOGY for the Braves. However, if he is used like Royce Ring was last year, I fear for O'Flaherty's production.

No Peavy, At Least Not Yet

Braves GM Frank Wren said that he has ended trade talks with San Diego about Jake Peavy.

It's just as well.

The trade talks had gotten to the point where the Braves were offering a package of shortstop Yunel Escobar, minor league outfielder Gorkys Hernandez, either Charlie Morton or Jo-Jo Ryees, and minor-league pitcher Jeff Locke. Still, the rumors that said Peavy would reject any trade to Atlanta if Yunel Escobar was included and the Cubs offering a package centered around outfielder Felix Pie and pitcher Sean Marshall persisted.

It's pretty clear out of all the information available that the Braves offered the best package for Peavy. I can only speculate that Padres GM Kevin Towers was trying to force the issue and make Wren cave and give up either one of two prized prospects: pitcher Tommy Hanson and catcher Tyler Flowers.

Instead of pursuing Peavy (at least for now), Wren is going to try to sign a free agent pitcher, most likely either A. J. Burnett or Ryan Dempster.

Braves May Be Looking Across The Pacific For Pitching

Mark Bowman, the Braves beat writer for MLB.com (known at Braves Journal as "Peanut" because all he does is parrot the Braves' front office) writes that "[the] Braves are believed to have offered a Major League contract to Junichi Tazawa, a 22-year-old Japanese right-hander who is also drawing interest from a number of other big league teams".

According to the BR Bullpen wiki entry on him, Tazawa pitched for the Nippon Oil team in 2008 and helped them win their first industrial league title in 13 years. He has a fastball (which tops out in the mid-90s), a curveball, slider, changeup and a forkball.

Here is a vclip posted on YouTube of Tazawa pitching for Nippon Oil (the ENEOS on his uniform is their brand name) against JR Shikoku, or Shikoku Railway Company. I can safely say I have never seen anyone with the kind of delivery that he has, and I don't know whether that is a good or bad thing. Tazawa throws with speeds from the mid-70s to the low-90s. He seems to live on control, as evidenced by this clip. That is what the Braves covet. An ajc.com article says one official even described him as similar to Tim Hudson but "with a better curveball".

However, It's unlikely that Tazawa is going to be in the majors immediately. He'll be treated like a first-round draft pick and be placed on the 40-man roster because he's signed to a major league deal. If the Braves are smart, and I think they are, they'll have Tazawa be in the minors for a year or two to see if he can really cut the mustard.

I would just absolutely love it if the Braves sign Tazawa and he pans out. It would go a long way to helping the team compete in the future.

Will Peavy's Concern About Atlanta's Team Prevent Trade?

In an article discussing how Braves general manager Frank Wren will approach the GM meetings in November, Jake Peavy was mentioned in a small snippet in the middle:

During a conversation with a friend in Atlanta last week, Peavy reiterated his desire to pitch for the Braves. But at the same time, he indicated he was concerned that the Braves might not be able to compete with the Phillies and Mets.

This goes without saying. On paper, Atlanta is the most inferior of the three teams, and it's arguable that the Marlins are better than them. The article continues, though:

Seemingly lost here is the fact that Peavy would be the key ingredient that could help the Braves as they prepare to dethrone the two-time defending National League East champion Phillies.

Not only do I find it curious that Peavy's acting like all the Braves are going to do this offseason is trade for him, but I also find it strange that he has even mentioned them as a trade partner in the first place. After all, out of all the teams he has listed as trade partners for San Diego (Braves, Dodgers, Cardinals, Astros and Cubs), Atlanta seems to be in the worst shape. The Dodgers fought for the NL West title last season, the Cubs won the NL Central and the Cardinals and Astros had outside shots at the NL Wild Card. The Braves were out of the playoff chase by August. Why would he mention the Braves as a trade partner for the Padres if one of his top concerns (seemingly) is getting into the playoffs immediately?

Despite The Braves' Failure, Chipper Has Success

No one expected this, not even the most diehard of Braves fans. Chipper Jones, a cornerstone of the Atlanta Braves for 15 seasons (including his cup of coffee in 1993), put together a season that hasn't been seen since the days of The Mick.

The base of his impressive 2008 run started in the 2007 season, which saw Jones post a career high batting average (.337) and his first .600+ slugging average in six years (.605 in 2001). He also had a career high in doubles (42).

Chipper's focus on batting average helped him start the 2008 season on a hot streak. Jones remained hot; he hit over .400 for a couple of months. He got as high as a .421 average on June 6th. After that, he was only able to maintain the .400 pace up to June 18th. Even though his doubles and home runs were down because he was battling injuries all year, Jones was able to maintain a high average. Albert Pujols, Lance Berkman and Matt Holliday, the reigning NL batting average champion, hung around at the top of the average leaderboard, but only Pujols was able to mount a serious challenge. Pujols took the lead on August 30th with a .362 average, but lost the lead again on September 10th.

Chipper didn't start games in the final week of the season due to a shoulder injury he suffered against the Mets. By the last series of the season for both players, with the Braves playing the Astros and the Cardinals playing the Reds, Chipper had a .365-.353 edge on Pujols. Jones didn't start the first game of the series and pinch-hit, drawing a walk. His average stayed at .365. Pujols went 3-3 with a homer and two walks, putting his average at .357. Jones didn't start the next game, either. He pinch-hit in the ninth inning, flying out to the scoreboard in left field at Minute Maid Park. Pujols went 1-4 with a home run in his next game, dropping his average to .356. It was still possible for Pujols to come back and win the title, but he would have to go 5-5 and Jones would have to go 0-3 for him to do that. But when Chipper didn't start against the Astros in the last game of the season, he virtually clinched the title. He pinch-hit in the Braves' final game of the year, a 3-1 loss to the Astros, and drew a walk, ending the year with a major-league best .364 average and the best average by a switch hitter in 51 years. Pujols went 1-2 with double and a walk in his last game, finishing with a .357 average.

Jones also finished the year with the highest on-base percentage in baseball (.470), making the batting average and OBP crowns for the National League the first two categories in which he has lead the Senior Circuit in anything.

The two stats also earned a top ten placement in the single seasons in franchise history:

BATTING AVERAGE

1. Hugh Duffy, 1894 - .440
2. Rogers Hornsby, 1928 - .387
3. Dan Brouthers, 1889 - .373
4. Billy Hamilton, 1898 - .369
5. Rico Carty, 1970 - .366
6. Billy Hamilton, 1896 - .365
7. Chipper Jones, 2008 - .364
8. Hugh Duffy, 1893 - .363
9. Hank Aaron, 1959 - .355
10. Chick Stahl, 1897 - .354

ON-BASE PERCENTAGE

1. Hugh Duffy, 1894 - .502
2. Rogers Hornsby, 1928 - .498
3. Billy Hamilton, 1898 - .480
4. Billy Hamilton, 1896 - .477
5. Chipper Jones, 2008 - .470
6. Dan Brouthers, 1889 - .462
7. Billy Hamilton, 1897 - .461
8. Rico Carty, 1970 - .454
9. Billy Hamilton, 1900 - .449
10. Chipper Jones, 1999 - .441

So, despite the Braves finishing with their worst season since 1990, Chipper finished with one of his best seasons since his MVP year.